The Fear & Greed index, a barometer of crypto investor sentiment, has fallen back to 12/100 this Monday, June 29, 2026, erasing the fragile rebound observed at the end of last week (18/100). This new low — the second in seven days after the previous floor of 12 on June 23 — confirms that the crypto market is experiencing its most intense phase of fear since the start of the year.
The chronological sequence is telling: 23 → 17 → 12 → 13 → 15 → 18 → 12. In seven readings, the index has touched the 12 threshold twice, with a brief recovery attempt in between. This double bottom suggests that fear is not a passing phenomenon but a sentiment taking hold for the long term.
Below 25, this is referred to as “Extreme Fear,” a territory historically associated with phases of capitulation. The last time the Fear & Greed remained this low for this long was in the summer of 2022, just before the rally that took Bitcoin from 7,000 to 0,000 in a few months.
“The market is in a state of entrenched fear, not sporadic panic,” explains an on-chain analyst. “The difference is crucial: in a state of entrenched fear, the market can stay low for a long time, but it is also more likely to rebound strongly on good news.”
On-chain data confirms this thesis: more than 50,000 BTC have been moved at a loss in recent days, a capitulation signal typical of advanced bear market phases. Historically, phases below 15/100 have always offered interesting observation points for long-term investors, with recovery times ranging from a few weeks to several months.
Upcoming macroeconomic data — particularly the US employment report on Friday — will determine whether this extreme sentiment is justified or whether the market is beginning a turnaround.
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