The first full week of 2026 ends on a cautious note. Bitcoin (BTC) oscillates around $90,819, down 4.2% over seven days, while Ethereum (ETH) stagnates at $3,119, losing 3.8%. Trading volumes are down 15% from the December average, signaling widespread profit-taking after the year-end rally.
Analysis: The Market Digests Excesses
Two factors explain this bearish breather. First, macroeconomics: the Fed minutes published Wednesday confirm a status quo on rates, with members divided on the timing of cuts. The dollar index (DXY) remains firm at 104.2, mechanically weighing on risk assets. Second, the 2024 halving has already been priced in: miners are now selling part of their reserves to finance operations, creating moderate selling pressure.
On the Ethereum side, the transition to liquid staking continues to support the price, but the network struggles to attract new DeFi users since the autumn correction. Average gas fees have fallen to 8 gwei, a low since June 2025, reflecting sluggish on-chain activity.
Outlook: Consolidation or Deeper Correction?
In the short term, BTC is testing the $88,000 support, a key level that held during the last three pullbacks. A technical bounce is likely early next week, driven by institutional buying via spot ETFs (net inflows of $120M on Friday). However, if this threshold breaks, a retracement toward $82,000 is not excluded.
For ETH, the $3,000 zone is psychological. A weekly close below this level would open the path to $2,800.
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